Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
WHEAT from 591.1 to 588.8, down 0.39%
Market Energy Bear Bias -44.1% to Bear Extreme -77.3%, down 33.1 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.19%▼ 0.34%▼ 0.17%▼ 0.39%
Energy▼ 0.8▼ 14.7▼ 33.1▼ 33.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.19%▼ 0.34%▼ 0.17%▼ 0.39%▼ 0.8▼ 14.7▼ 33.1▼ 33.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.39% — higher than 79% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 33.1 pts — higher than 83% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme WHEAT 1H

Sample: 15,139 1H candles from 2023-07-26 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 670 times

▸When WHEAT is in Bear Extreme:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 670 times — 100%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current WHEAT market energy: -77.28%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.78%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 22.72%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · H1 · 2026-03-02 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live WHEAT chart →
Market Energy
-44.1%
Bear Bias
-77.3%
Bear Extreme
-97.4%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, WHEAT noted at the Bear Extreme level.

Market movement just recorded on the 1H timeframe, Market Energy dropped -33.1% from the previous candle, from -44.1% to -77.3%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -94.3 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 20:00 on 02-03-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 588.8, down 0.39% from the previous candle (591.1). Market Energy was -77.3%, down 33.1 points from -44.1%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 588.8, down 0.39% from the previous 1H candle (591.1). This drop is larger than 79% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for WHEAT, across 12,222 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 33.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -44.1% to -77.3%. This drop is larger than 83% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had WHEAT at -44.1%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, WHEAT moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -77.3%, WHEAT is 2.78 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 22.72 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -16.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -89.1%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Extreme, -77.3%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 95.1%. WHEAT (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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