Analysis

·

Candle open
Price and energy
WHEAT from 549.2 to 540.8, down 1.53%
Market Energy Neutral 7.9% to Bear Bias -48.4%, down 56.2 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 3.34%▲ 0.09%▼ 1.58%▼ 1.53%
Energy▲ 44.9▲ 34.7▼ 24.9▼ 56.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 3.34%▲ 0.09%▼ 1.58%▼ 1.53%▲ 44.9▲ 34.7▼ 24.9▼ 56.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.53% — higher than 64% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 56.2 pts — higher than 93% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias WHEAT Daily

Sample: 3,426 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 366 times

▸When WHEAT is in Bear Bias:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 203 times — 55.5%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 163 times — 44.5%

▸Current WHEAT market energy: -48.37%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 27.49%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 11.63%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · D1 · 2025-11-20 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live WHEAT chart →
Market Energy
7.9%
Neutral
-48.4%
Bear Bias
-49.4%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the Daily candle just closed, WHEAT shows the energy level leaning Bear.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy dropped -56.2% from the previous session, from 7.9% to -48.4%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -48.4 to +32.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 20-11-2025 closed, WHEAT was at 540.8, down 1.53% from the previous candle (549.2). Market Energy was -48.4%, down 56.2 points from 7.9%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 540.8, down 1.53% from the previous Daily candle (549.2). This drop is larger than 64% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for WHEAT, across 1,704 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 56.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 7.9% to -48.4%. This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had WHEAT at 7.9%, Neutral — when this candle closed, WHEAT moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -48.4%, WHEAT is 27.49 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 11.63 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 96%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 70.6%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Bias, -48.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 85.9%. WHEAT (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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