Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
WHEAT from 516.2 to 507.1, down 1.76%
Market Energy Bear Bias -57.7% to Bear Extreme -81.9%, down 24.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 1.19%▲ 0.33%▲ 0.04%▼ 1.76%
Energy▼ 48.9▲ 4.4▲ 9.8▼ 24.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 1.19%▲ 0.33%▲ 0.04%▼ 1.76%▼ 48.9▲ 4.4▲ 9.8▼ 24.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.76% — higher than 71% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 24.2 pts — higher than 68% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme WHEAT Daily

Sample: 3,426 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 182 times

▸When WHEAT is in Bear Extreme:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 182 times — 100%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current WHEAT market energy: -81.88%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 7.38%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 18.12%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · D1 · 2025-10-10 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live WHEAT chart →
Market Energy
-57.7%
Bear Bias
-81.9%
Bear Extreme
-90.8%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the Daily candle closes, WHEAT in the Bear Extreme state.

On the energy side, Market Energy at -81.9%, down -24.2% from -57.7% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -81.9 to -23.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 10-10-2025 closed, WHEAT was at 507.1, down 1.76% from the previous candle (516.2). Market Energy was -81.9%, down 24.2 points from -57.7%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 507.1, down 1.76% from the previous Daily candle (516.2). This drop is larger than 71% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for WHEAT, across 1,675 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 24.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -57.7% to -81.9%. This drop is larger than 68% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had WHEAT at -57.7%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, WHEAT moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -81.9%, WHEAT is 7.38 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 18.12 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 36.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 8.1%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Extreme, -81.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 69.6%. WHEAT (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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