Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USOIL from 67.864 to 67.493, down 0.55%
Market Energy Bear Critical -72.9% to Bear Critical -70.8%, up 2.1 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.29%▼ 0.42%▲ 0.11%▼ 0.55%
Energy▼ 8.9▼ 3.8▲ 5.4▲ 2.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.29%▼ 0.42%▲ 0.11%▼ 0.55%▼ 8.9▼ 3.8▲ 5.4▲ 2.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.55% — higher than 57% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 2.1 pts — higher than 14% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,162 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1,008 times

▸When USOIL is in Bear Critical:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 677 times — 67.2%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 331 times — 32.8%

▸Current USOIL market energy: -70.8%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.8%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.7%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-07-02 06:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USOIL chart →
Market Energy
-72.9%
Bear Critical
-70.8%
Bear Critical
-52.6%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, USOIL on 4H is in bear critical with energy -70.8. Energy changed +2.1 from previous candle.

USOIL on 4H timeframe is currently in bear critical state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads -70.8, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -78.3 to +51.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 13:00 on 02-07-2026 closed, USOIL was at 67.493, down 0.55% from the previous candle (67.864). Market Energy was -70.8%, up 2.1 points from -72.9%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 67.493, down 0.55% from the previous 4H candle (67.864). This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,569 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 2.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -72.9% to -70.8%. This rise is larger than 14% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at -72.9%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -70.8%, USOIL is 10.8 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.7 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -59%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -38.4%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bear Critical, -70.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -45.2%. USOIL (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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