Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USOIL from 69.669 to 70.033, up 0.52%
Market Energy Bear Bias -42.1% to Bear Bias -38.1%, up 4.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 1.31%▼ 0.18%▼ 1.71%▲ 0.52%
Energy▲ 36.5▲ 1.2▼ 93.6▲ 4.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 1.31%▼ 0.18%▼ 1.71%▲ 0.52%▲ 36.5▲ 1.2▼ 93.6▲ 4.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.52% — higher than 55% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 4.0 pts — higher than 25% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USOIL 4H

Sample: 21,167 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-09
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,572 times

▸When USOIL is in Bear Bias:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 956 times — 60.8%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 616 times — 39.2%

▸Current USOIL market energy: -38.1%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 17.22%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 21.9%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H4 · 2026-06-30 18:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-42.1%
Bear Bias
-38.1%
Bear Bias
-36.3%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, USOIL on 4H is in bear bias with energy -38.1. Energy changed +4 from previous candle.

USOIL on 4H timeframe is currently in bear bias state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads -38.1, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -64.3 to +85.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 01:00 on 01-07-2026 closed, USOIL was at 70.033, up 0.52% from the previous candle (69.669). Market Energy was -38.1%, up 4.0 points from -42.1%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 70.033, up 0.52% from the previous 4H candle (69.669). This rise is larger than 55% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL, across 11,560 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -42.1% to -38.1%. This rise is larger than 25% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USOIL at -42.1%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -38.1%, USOIL is 17.22 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 21.9 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 84.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 81.6%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bear Bias, -38.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -64%. USOIL (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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