Analysis

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Price and energy
USOIL from 100.488 to 95.582, down 4.88%
Market Energy Bear Bias -42.4% to Bear Critical -73.9%, down 31.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%2.49%0.84%4.88%
Energy2.33.03.831.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 2.49% 0.84% 4.88% 2.3 3.0 3.8 31.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 4.88% — largest on record (since 2019)
0%255075100%
Energy down 31.5 pts — higher than 84% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USOIL 1H

Sample: 69,276 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 3,047 times

When USOIL is in Bear Critical:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 2,111 times69.3%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 936 times30.7%

Current USOIL market energy: -73.9%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 13.9%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.6%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H1 · 2026-03-09 15:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-42.4%
Bear Bias
-73.9%
Bear Critical
-80.3%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

USOIL recorded in Bear trend energy near extreme as the 1H candle ended.

On trend energy, Energy delta -31.5%: Market Energy at -73.9%, previously -42.4%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -76.6 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 22:00 on 09-03-2026 closed, USOIL was at 95.582, down 4.88% from the previous candle (100.488). Market Energy was -73.9%, down 31.5 points from -42.4%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 95.582, down 4.88% from the previous 1H candle (100.488). This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for USOIL on record since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 31.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -42.4% to -73.9%. This drop is larger than 84% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USOIL at -42.4%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, USOIL moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -73.9%, USOIL is 13.9 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 0.6 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 81.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.5%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bear Critical, -73.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -69%. USOIL (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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