Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
USOIL from 70.033 to 68.452, down 2.26%
Market Energy Bear Critical -64.1% to Bear Critical -73.3%, down 9.2 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.25%▲ 1.08%▼ 0.54%▼ 2.26%
Energy▼ 3.7▲ 8.6▲ 4.7▼ 9.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.25%▲ 1.08%▼ 0.54%▼ 2.26%▼ 3.7▲ 8.6▲ 4.7▼ 9.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.26% — higher than 74% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.2 pts — higher than 37% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USOIL Daily

Sample: 7,481 Daily candles from 1997-01-03 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 407 times

▸When USOIL is in Bear Critical:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 267 times — 65.6%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 140 times — 34.4%

▸Current USOIL market energy: -73.34%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 13.34%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 1.16%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · D1 · 2026-07-01 22:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USOIL chart →
Market Energy
-64.1%
Bear Critical
-73.3%
Bear Critical
-65.6%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, USOIL on Daily is in bear critical with energy -73.3. Energy changed +5.5 from previous candle.

USOIL on Daily timeframe is currently in bear critical state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads -73.3, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -77.4 to -64.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 05:00 on 02-07-2026 closed, USOIL was at 68.452, down 2.26% from the previous candle (70.033). Market Energy was -73.3%, down 9.2 points from -64.1%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USOIL price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 68.452, down 2.26% from the previous Daily candle (70.033). This drop is larger than 74% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USOIL, across 2,331 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -64.1% to -73.3%. This drop is larger than 37% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USOIL at -64.1%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -73.3%, USOIL is 13.34 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 1.16 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 5.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 9.4%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bear Critical, -73.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 1.8%. USOIL energy is currently below DXY by 75.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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