Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
USOIL from 81.142 to 76.588, down 5.61%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -88.7% to Bear Extreme -93.9%, down 5.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 2.50%▼ 5.32%▲ 1.70%▼ 5.61%
Energy▼ 29.7▼ 11.4▲ 6.7▼ 5.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 2.50%▼ 5.32%▲ 1.70%▼ 5.61%▼ 29.7▼ 11.4▲ 6.7▼ 5.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 5.61% — higher than 96% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 5.2 pts — higher than 22% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USOIL Daily

Sample: 7,481 Daily candles from 1997-01-03 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 314 times

▸When USOIL is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 314 times — 100%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current USOIL market energy: -93.9%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 19.4%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 6.1%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · D1 · 2026-06-16 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USOIL chart →
Market Energy
-88.7%
Bear Extreme
-93.9%
Bear Extreme
-92.2%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, USOIL on Daily is in bear extreme with energy -93.9. Energy changed -5.2 from previous candle. State held for 3 consecutive candles.

USOIL on Daily timeframe is currently in bear extreme state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads -93.9, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -95.4 to -54.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 16-06-2026 closed, USOIL was at 76.588, down 5.61% from the previous candle (81.142). Market Energy was -93.9%, down 5.2 points from -88.7%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USOIL price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 76.588, down 5.61% from the previous Daily candle (81.142). This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USOIL, across 2,318 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 5.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -88.7% to -93.9%. This drop is larger than 22% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USOIL at -88.7%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -93.9%, USOIL is 19.4 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 6.1 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 18%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -71.4%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bear Extreme, -93.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 27.7%. USOIL (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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