Analysis

·

Candle open
Price and energy
USDJPY from 157.896 to 156.37, down 0.97%
Market Energy Bear Bias -26.6% to Bear Bias -33.5%, down 6.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.12%▲ 0.22%▲ 0.41%▼ 0.97%
Energy▲ 8.5▲ 7.8▲ 24.4▼ 6.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.12%▲ 0.22%▲ 0.41%▼ 0.97%▲ 8.5▲ 7.8▲ 24.4▼ 6.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.97% — higher than 92% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 6.9 pts — higher than 34% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,060 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 323 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 200 times — 61.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 123 times — 38.1%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -33.5%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 12.62%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 26.5%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · D1 · 2026-05-06 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-26.6%
Bear Bias
-33.5%
Bear Bias
-27.6%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Per 2AiTrading Market Energy model, USDJPY on Daily is in bear bias with energy -33.5. Energy changed -6.9 from previous candle. State held for 3 consecutive candles.

USDJPY on Daily timeframe is currently in bear bias state, as measured by 2AiTrading's Market Energy model. Market Energy reads -33.5, indicating the current level of control between Buyers and Sellers.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -67.3 to -26.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 06-05-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 156.37, down 0.97% from the previous candle (157.896). Market Energy was -33.5%, down 6.9 points from -26.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 156.37, down 0.97% from the previous Daily candle (157.896). This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY, across 2,297 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 6.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -26.6% to -33.5%. This drop is larger than 34% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDJPY at -26.6%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -33.5%, USDJPY is 12.62 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 26.5 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 51.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 98.7%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Bias, -33.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -80.2%. USDJPY (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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