Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
USDJPY from 148.598 to 147.94, down 0.44%
Market Energy Bull Bias 48.3% to Bear Bias -37.2%, down 85.5 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.19%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.55%▼ 0.44%
Energy▼ 4.5▼ 3.1▼ 39.3▼ 85.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.19%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.55%▼ 0.44%▼ 4.5▼ 3.1▼ 39.3▼ 85.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.44% — higher than 72% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 85.5 pts — higher than 98% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,060 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 323 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 200 times — 61.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 123 times — 38.1%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -37.22%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 16.34%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 22.78%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · D1 · 2025-09-30 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
48.3%
Bull Bias
-37.2%
Bear Bias
-71.7%
Bear Critical
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Daily candle closes, USDJPY within the Bear Bias zone.

The market energy reading Market Energy dropped -85.5% this candle, currently -37.2% (previous candle 48.3%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -37.2 to +95.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 30-09-2025 closed, USDJPY was at 147.94, down 0.44% from the previous candle (148.598). Market Energy was -37.2%, down 85.5 points from 48.3%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 147.94, down 0.44% from the previous Daily candle (148.598). This drop is larger than 72% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY, across 2,110 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 85.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 48.3% to -37.2%. This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDJPY at 48.3%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -37.2%, USDJPY is 16.34 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 22.78 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -4.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 21.8%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Bias, -37.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -4.1%. USDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 33.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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