Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
USDJPY from 155.725 to 154.516, down 0.78%
Market Energy Neutral -19.4% to Bear Bias -48.2%, down 28.8 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.29%▼ 0.05%▼ 0.17%▼ 0.78%
Energy▲ 4.4▲ 3.4▲ 2.8▼ 28.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.29%▼ 0.05%▼ 0.17%▼ 0.78%▲ 4.4▲ 3.4▲ 2.8▼ 28.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.78% — higher than 89% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 28.8 pts — higher than 80% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,060 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 323 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 200 times — 61.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 123 times — 38.1%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -48.17%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 27.29%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 11.83%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · D1 · 2025-01-27 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-19.4%
Neutral
-48.2%
Bear Bias
-34.4%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Daily data updates, USDJPY within the Bear Bias energy level.

Market trend update: Market Energy moved from -22.1% to -48.2%, down -26% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 4 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -48.2 to -19.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 27-01-2025 closed, USDJPY was at 154.516, down 0.78% from the previous candle (155.725). Market Energy was -48.2%, down 28.8 points from -19.4%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 154.516, down 0.78% from the previous Daily candle (155.725). This drop is larger than 89% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY, across 1,899 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 28.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -19.4% to -48.2%. This drop is larger than 80% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDJPY at -19.4%, Neutral — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -48.2%, USDJPY is 27.29 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 11.83 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -91.8%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Bias, -48.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -26.2%. USDJPY (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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