Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
USDJPY from 134.482 to 136.754, up 1.69%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -97.2% to Bear Extreme -80.5%, up 16.7 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 2.01%▼ 0.75%▲ 0.11%▲ 1.69%
Energy▼ 49.1▼ 3.8▼ 0.6▲ 16.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 2.01%▼ 0.75%▲ 0.11%▲ 1.69%▼ 49.1▼ 3.8▼ 0.6▲ 16.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.69% — higher than 99% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 16.7 pts — higher than 61% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,060 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 111 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 111 times — 100%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -80.5%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 6%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 19.5%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · D1 · 2022-12-05 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-97.2%
Bear Extreme
-80.5%
Bear Extreme
-45.3%
Bear Bias
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed Daily candle data, USDJPY classified as the extreme Bear energy state.

Market energy movement Market Energy reading rose +16.1%, moving from -96.6% to -80.5% after the Daily candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 3 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -97.2 to -43.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 05-12-2022 closed, USDJPY was at 136.754, up 1.69% from the previous candle (134.482). Market Energy was -80.5%, up 16.7 points from -97.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 136.754, up 1.69% from the previous Daily candle (134.482). This rise is larger than 99% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY, across 1,229 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 16.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -97.2% to -80.5%. This rise is larger than 61% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDJPY at -97.2%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -80.5%, USDJPY is 6 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 19.5 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 4.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 38.2%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Extreme, -80.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -73.9%. USDJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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