Analysis

·

Candle open
Price and energy
USDJPY from 146.414 to 140.936, down 3.74%
Market Energy Bear Bias -31.1% to Bear Extreme -85.8%, down 54.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.15%▼ 0.68%▲ 0.53%▼ 3.74%
Energy▼ 6.8▼ 28.0▲ 13.1▼ 54.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.15%▼ 0.68%▲ 0.53%▼ 3.74%▼ 6.8▼ 28.0▲ 13.1▼ 54.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.74% — largest on record (since 2019)
0%255075100%
Energy down 54.8 pts — higher than 92% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,060 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 111 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 111 times — 100%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -85.84%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 11.34%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 14.16%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · D1 · 2022-11-10 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-31.1%
Bear Bias
-85.8%
Bear Extreme
-98.7%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the Daily session concludes, USDJPY currently in Bear Extreme.

At the Daily session close, Market Energy dropped -54.8% from the previous candle, from -31.1% to -85.8%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -85.8 to -9.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 10-11-2022 closed, USDJPY was at 140.936, down 3.74% from the previous candle (146.414). Market Energy was -85.8%, down 54.8 points from -31.1%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 140.936, down 3.74% from the previous Daily candle (146.414). This is the largest of all drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY on record since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 54.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -31.1% to -85.8%. This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDJPY at -31.1%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -85.8%, USDJPY is 11.34 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 14.16 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -81.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -60.1%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Extreme, -85.8%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 68.5%. USDJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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