Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
USDJPY from 129.983 to 128.322, down 1.28%
Market Energy Bull Bias 34.1% to Bear Bias -44.3%, down 78.4 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.32%▲ 0.09%▼ 0.35%▼ 1.28%
Energy▼ 18.9▼ 4.8▼ 14.5▼ 78.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.32%▲ 0.09%▼ 0.35%▼ 1.28%▼ 18.9▼ 4.8▼ 14.5▼ 78.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.28% — higher than 98% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 78.4 pts — higher than 97% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,060 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 323 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 200 times — 61.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 123 times — 38.1%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -44.29%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 23.41%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 15.71%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · D1 · 2022-05-12 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
34.1%
Bull Bias
-44.3%
Bear Bias
-32.4%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed Daily candle, USDJPY in the energy zone leaning Bear.

The energy side shows Market Energy reading dropped -78.4%, moving from 34.1% to -44.3% after the Daily candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -44.3 to +72.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 12-05-2022 closed, USDJPY was at 128.322, down 1.28% from the previous candle (129.983). Market Energy was -44.3%, down 78.4 points from 34.1%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 128.322, down 1.28% from the previous Daily candle (129.983). This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY, across 1,052 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 78.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 34.1% to -44.3%. This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDJPY at 34.1%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -44.3%, USDJPY is 23.41 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 15.71 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -65.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -52.2%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Bias, -44.3%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 53.7%. USDJPY (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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