Analysis

·

Candle open
Price and energy
USDJPY from 115.623 to 115.199, down 0.37%
Market Energy Bull Bias 43.8% to Bear Bias -32.6%, down 76.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.22%▼ 0.25%▲ 0.06%▼ 0.37%
Energy▼ 13.9▼ 41.8▲ 7.6▼ 76.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.22%▼ 0.25%▲ 0.06%▼ 0.37%▼ 13.9▼ 41.8▲ 7.6▼ 76.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.37% — higher than 77% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 76.4 pts — higher than 97% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,060 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 323 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 200 times — 61.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 123 times — 38.1%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -32.57%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 11.69%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 27.43%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · D1 · 2022-01-10 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
43.8%
Bull Bias
-32.6%
Bear Bias
-38.1%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed Daily candle data, USDJPY shows Bear Bias.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy moved from 36.3% to -32.6%, down -68.8% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -32.6 to +92.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 10-01-2022 closed, USDJPY was at 115.199, down 0.37% from the previous candle (115.623). Market Energy was -32.6%, down 76.4 points from 43.8%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 115.199, down 0.37% from the previous Daily candle (115.623). This drop is larger than 77% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY, across 947 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 76.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 43.8% to -32.6%. This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDJPY at 43.8%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -32.6%, USDJPY is 11.69 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 27.43 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -51.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -25.9%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Bias, -32.6%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -87.6%. USDJPY (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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