Analysis

·

Candle open
Price and energy
USDJPY from 108.827 to 108.028, down 0.73%
Market Energy Bull Bias 37.1% to Bear Extreme -78.8%, down 115.9 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.21%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.06%▼ 0.73%
Energy▲ 20.3▼ 6.3▼ 25.6▼ 115.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.21%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.06%▼ 0.73%▲ 20.3▼ 6.3▼ 25.6▼ 115.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.73% — higher than 93% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 115.9 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,060 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 111 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 111 times — 100%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -78.83%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 4.33%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 21.17%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · D1 · 2019-10-31 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
37.1%
Bull Bias
-78.8%
Bear Extreme
-77.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed Daily candle data, USDJPY classified as the peak Bear energy level.

At the Daily session close, Market Energy at -78.8%, down -115.9% from 37.1% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -78.8 to +68.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 31-10-2019 closed, USDJPY was at 108.028, down 0.73% from the previous candle (108.827). Market Energy was -78.8%, down 115.9 points from 37.1%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 108.028, down 0.73% from the previous Daily candle (108.827). This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY, across 261 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 115.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 37.1% to -78.8%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDJPY at 37.1%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -78.8%, USDJPY is 4.33 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 21.17 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 77.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 75.7%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Extreme, -78.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -97.1%. USDJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .