Analysis

·

Candle open
Price and energy
USDJPY from 108.494 to 107.906, down 0.54%
Market Energy Bull Bias 50.4% to Neutral -5.3%, down 55.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.12%▼ 0.36%▲ 0.03%▼ 0.54%
Energy▲ 3.9▼ 27.3▼ 13.7▼ 55.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.12%▼ 0.36%▲ 0.03%▼ 0.54%▲ 3.9▼ 27.3▼ 13.7▼ 55.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.54% — higher than 91% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 55.7 pts — higher than 93% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,060 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-07
Number of Neutral occurrences: 330 times

▸When USDJPY is in Neutral:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 180 times — 54.5%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 150 times — 45.5%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -5.27%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 26.15%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 15.61%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · D1 · 2019-07-12 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
50.4%
Bull Bias
-5.3%
Neutral
-69.8%
Bear Critical
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

After the Daily candle closes, USDJPY within the balanced Market Energy state.

Market trend energy Market trend energy recorded a -55.7% drop from the previous candle, from 50.4% to -5.3%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -5.3 to +91.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 12-07-2019 closed, USDJPY was at 107.906, down 0.54% from the previous candle (108.494). Market Energy was -5.3%, down 55.7 points from 50.4%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 107.906, down 0.54% from the previous Daily candle (108.494). This drop is larger than 91% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY, across 166 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 55.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 50.4% to -5.3%. This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDJPY at 50.4%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -5.3%, USDJPY is 26.15 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 15.61 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 92.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 3.4%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Neutral, -5.3%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 38.8%. USDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 44.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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