Analysis

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Price and energy
TRXUSD from 0.3175 to 0.3168, down 0.22%
Market Energy Bear Critical -71.7% to Bear Extreme -81.7%, down 10.0 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.47%0.16%0.59%0.22%
Energy20.29.720.510.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.47% 0.16% 0.59% 0.22% 20.2 9.7 20.5 10.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.22% — higher than 23% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.0 pts — higher than 53% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme TRXUSD 4H

Sample: 18,076 4H candles from 2018-06-11 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 197 times

When TRXUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then TRXUSD moved to higher Market State: 197 times100%
  • then TRXUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current TRXUSD market energy: -81.75%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 7.25%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 18.25%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

TRXUSD · H4 · 2026-06-30 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-71.7%
Bear Critical
-81.7%
Bear Extreme
-87.7%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, TRXUSD within the Extreme state of Bear.

Market trend update: Market Energy reading dropped -10%, moving from -71.7% to -81.7% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, TRXUSD Market Energy ranged from -81.7 to +46.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did TRXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 30-06-2026 closed, TRXUSD was at 0.3168, down 0.22% from the previous candle (0.3175). Market Energy was -81.7%, down 10.0 points from -71.7%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did TRXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

TRXUSD closed at 0.3168, down 0.22% from the previous 4H candle (0.3175). This drop is larger than 23% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for TRXUSD, across 16,421 candles since 2019.

How did TRXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10 percentage points from the previous candle — from -71.7% to -81.7%. This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for TRXUSD.

Do TRXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was TRXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had TRXUSD at -71.7%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, TRXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does TRXUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -81.7%, TRXUSD is 7.25 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 18.25 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -39.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 73.9%. Against this backdrop, TRXUSD (Bear Extreme, -81.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -6%. TRXUSD energy is currently below DXY by 75.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for TRXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for TRXUSD on the TRXUSD overview →

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