Analysis

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Price and energy
TRXUSD from 0.3437 to 0.3429, down 0.23%
Market Energy Bull Bias 54.0% to Neutral 20.1%, down 33.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.12%0.15%0.09%0.23%
Energy1.810.22.933.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.12% 0.15% 0.09% 0.23% 1.8 10.2 2.9 33.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.23% — higher than 22% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 33.9 pts — higher than 92% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral TRXUSD 4H

Sample: 18,080 4H candles from 2018-06-11 to 2026-09-12
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,889 times

When TRXUSD is in Neutral:

  • then TRXUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,014 times53.7%
  • then TRXUSD moved to lower Market State: 875 times46.3%

Current TRXUSD market energy: 20.07%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 0.81%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 40.95%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

TRXUSD · H4 · 2025-10-03 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live TRXUSD chart →
Market Energy
54.0%
Bull Bias
20.1%
Neutral
-8.0%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, TRXUSD in the Neutral zone.

The TRXUSD market at session end, Market Energy reading dropped -33.9%, moving from 54% to 20.1% after the 4H candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, TRXUSD Market Energy ranged from -64.9 to +83.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did TRXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 03-10-2025 closed, TRXUSD was at 0.3429, down 0.23% from the previous candle (0.3437). Market Energy was 20.1%, down 33.9 points from 54%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did TRXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

TRXUSD closed at 0.3429, down 0.23% from the previous 4H candle (0.3437). This drop is larger than 22% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for TRXUSD, across 14,802 candles since 2019.

How did TRXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 33.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 54% to 20.1%. This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for TRXUSD.

Do TRXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was TRXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had TRXUSD at 54%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, TRXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does TRXUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 20.1%, TRXUSD is 0.81 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 40.95 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 86%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -10.1%. Against this backdrop, TRXUSD (Neutral, 20.1%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -35.4%. TRXUSD energy is currently above DXY by 55.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for TRXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for TRXUSD on the TRXUSD overview →

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