Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
SOLUSD from 78.14 to 77.89, down 0.32%
Market Energy Neutral -14.4% to Bear Bias -29.5%, down 15.1 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.25%▲ 0.62%▼ 1.54%▼ 0.32%
Energy▲ 4.8▲ 7.0▼ 47.9▼ 15.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.25%▲ 0.62%▼ 1.54%▼ 0.32%▲ 4.8▲ 7.0▼ 47.9▼ 15.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.32% — higher than 17% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 15.1 pts — higher than 64% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias SOLUSD 4H

Sample: 13,494 4H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,139 times

▸When SOLUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 715 times — 62.8%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 424 times — 37.2%

▸Current SOLUSD market energy: -29.48%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 8.6%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 30.52%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H4 · 2026-07-10 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-14.4%
Neutral
-29.5%
Bear Bias
-22.3%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, Market SOLUSD in the Bear Bias level.

Market trend update: Market Energy reading dropped -15.1%, moving from -14.4% to -29.5% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -86.1 to +84.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 10-07-2026 closed, SOLUSD was at 77.89, down 0.32% from the previous candle (78.14). Market Energy was -29.5%, down 15.1 points from -14.4%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 77.89, down 0.32% from the previous 4H candle (78.14). This drop is larger than 17% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 12,956 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 15.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -14.4% to -29.5%. This drop is larger than 64% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SOLUSD at -14.4%, Neutral — when this candle closed, SOLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -29.5%, SOLUSD is 8.6 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 30.52 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 74.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -5.4%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bear Bias, -29.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -37%. SOLUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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