Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
SOLUSD from 220.25 to 220.05, down 0.09%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 99.5% to Bull Extreme 98.7%, down 0.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 1.69%▲ 3.60%▲ 1.15%▼ 0.09%
Energy▲ 18.8▲ 98.8▲ 4.5▼ 0.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 1.69%▲ 3.60%▲ 1.15%▼ 0.09%▲ 18.8▲ 98.8▲ 4.5▼ 0.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.09% — higher than 4% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.8 pts — higher than 5% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme SOLUSD 4H

Sample: 13,479 4H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-10-05
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 503 times

▸When SOLUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 503 times — 100%

▸Current SOLUSD market energy: 98.7%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 1.3%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 24.2%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H4 · 2025-10-01 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live SOLUSD chart →
Market Energy
99.5%
Bull Extreme
98.7%
Bull Extreme
96.0%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

SOLUSD recorded in Bull Extreme as the 4H candle ended.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy dropped -0.8% this candle, currently 98.7% (previous candle 99.5%).

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -40.9 to +99.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 01-10-2025 closed, SOLUSD was at 220.05, down 0.09% from the previous candle (220.25). Market Energy was 98.7%, down 0.8 points from 99.5%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 220.05, down 0.09% from the previous 4H candle (220.25). This drop is larger than 4% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 11,264 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 0.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 99.5% to 98.7%. This drop is larger than 5% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SOLUSD at 99.5%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 98.7%, SOLUSD is 1.3 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 24.2 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 93.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 94.8%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bull Extreme, 98.7%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 59.4%. SOLUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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