Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
SOLUSD from 20.42 to 20.02, down 1.96%
Market Energy Bear Bias -45.8% to Bear Critical -61.9%, down 16.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.38%▼ 1.93%▲ 0.54%▼ 1.96%
Energy▲ 0.3▼ 57.6▲ 22.9▼ 16.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.38%▼ 1.93%▲ 0.54%▼ 1.96%▲ 0.3▼ 57.6▲ 22.9▼ 16.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.96% — higher than 61% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 16.1 pts — higher than 67% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical SOLUSD 4H

Sample: 13,493 4H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 697 times

▸When SOLUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 506 times — 72.6%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 191 times — 27.4%

▸Current SOLUSD market energy: -61.89%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 1.89%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 12.61%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H4 · 2023-03-07 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-45.8%
Bear Bias
-61.9%
Bear Critical
-45.5%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, SOLUSD in Bear Critical.

Market movement after the 4H candle closes, Market Energy at -61.9%, down -16.1% from -45.8% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -84 to +41.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 07-03-2023 closed, SOLUSD was at 20.02, down 1.96% from the previous candle (20.42). Market Energy was -61.9%, down 16.1 points from -45.8%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 20.02, down 1.96% from the previous 4H candle (20.42). This drop is larger than 61% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 5,630 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 16.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -45.8% to -61.9%. This drop is larger than 67% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SOLUSD at -45.8%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, SOLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -61.9%, SOLUSD is 1.89 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 12.61 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -98.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -95.8%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bear Critical, -61.9%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 100%. SOLUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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