Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
SOLUSD from 194.48 to 181.45, down 6.70%
Market Energy Bear Critical -66.7% to Bear Critical -68.1%, down 1.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 7.45%▼ 6.16%▲ 0.35%▼ 6.70%
Energy▼ 39.5▼ 30.0▲ 17.1▼ 1.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 7.45%▼ 6.16%▲ 0.35%▼ 6.70%▼ 39.5▼ 30.0▲ 17.1▼ 1.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 6.70% — higher than 81% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 1.4 pts — higher than 8% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical SOLUSD Daily

Sample: 2,248 Daily candles from 2020-08-12 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 108 times

▸When SOLUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 81 times — 75%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 27 times — 25%

▸Current SOLUSD market energy: -68.1%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 8.1%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 6.4%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · D1 · 2024-12-21 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live SOLUSD chart →
Market Energy
-66.7%
Bear Critical
-68.1%
Bear Critical
-73.9%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

SOLUSD recorded in the near-peak Bear energy zone as the Daily candle ended.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy dropped -1.4% from the previous session, from -66.7% to -68.1%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -83.8 to -14.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 21-12-2024 closed, SOLUSD was at 181.45, down 6.7% from the previous candle (194.48). Market Energy was -68.1%, down 1.4 points from -66.7%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 181.45, down 6.7% from the previous Daily candle (194.48). This drop is larger than 81% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for SOLUSD, across 1,592 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 1.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -66.7% to -68.1%. This drop is larger than 8% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had SOLUSD at -66.7%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -68.1%, SOLUSD is 8.1 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 6.4 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 62.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 13%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bear Critical, -68.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -48.4%. SOLUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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