Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
NZDJPY from 87.05 to 86.909, down 0.16%
Market Energy Bear Critical -68.7% to Bear Extreme -81.5%, down 12.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.02%▼ 0.13%▲ 0.02%▼ 0.16%
Energy▲ 5.2▼ 7.0▲ 0.7▼ 12.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.02%▼ 0.13%▲ 0.02%▼ 0.16%▲ 5.2▼ 7.0▲ 0.7▼ 12.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.16% — higher than 83% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 12.7 pts — higher than 61% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme NZDJPY 1H

Sample: 58,459 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 1,825 times

▸When NZDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then NZDJPY moved to higher Market State: 1,825 times — 100%
  • then NZDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current NZDJPY market energy: -81.46%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 6.96%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 18.54%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

NZDJPY · H1 · 2025-09-18 06:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NZDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-68.7%
Bear Critical
-81.5%
Bear Extreme
-72.5%
Bear Critical
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 1H candle, Market NZDJPY in the peak Bear energy level.

On trend energy, Market Energy dropped -12.7% from the previous candle, from -68.7% to -81.5%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDJPY Market Energy ranged from -92.5 to +77.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 13:00 on 18-09-2025 closed, NZDJPY was at 86.909, down 0.16% from the previous candle (87.05). Market Energy was -81.5%, down 12.7 points from -68.7%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did NZDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDJPY closed at 86.909, down 0.16% from the previous 1H candle (87.05). This drop is larger than 83% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NZDJPY, across 41,851 candles since 2019.

How did NZDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 12.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -68.7% to -81.5%. This drop is larger than 61% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NZDJPY.

Do NZDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NZDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had NZDJPY at -68.7%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, NZDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does NZDJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -81.5%, NZDJPY is 6.96 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 18.54 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 33.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 38.1%. Against this backdrop, NZDJPY (Bear Extreme, -81.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 75.1%. NZDJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDJPY on the NZDJPY overview →

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