Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
NZDJPY from 85.256 to 84.8425, down 0.48%
Market Energy Bear Critical -64.0% to Bear Extreme -79.7%, down 15.7 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.54%▼ 0.47%▼ 0.34%▼ 0.48%
Energy▲ 25.0▼ 0.1▼ 28.8▼ 15.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.54%▼ 0.47%▼ 0.34%▼ 0.48%▲ 25.0▼ 0.1▼ 28.8▼ 15.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.48% — higher than 64% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 15.7 pts — higher than 62% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme NZDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,035 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 138 times

▸When NZDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then NZDJPY moved to higher Market State: 138 times — 100%
  • then NZDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current NZDJPY market energy: -79.68%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 5.18%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 20.32%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

NZDJPY · D1 · 2025-05-22 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NZDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-64.0%
Bear Critical
-79.7%
Bear Extreme
-57.4%
Bear Bias
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the Daily candle, NZDJPY in Bear energy at Extreme.

The NZDJPY market at session end, Market Energy reading dropped -15.7%, moving from -64% to -79.7% after the Daily candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDJPY Market Energy ranged from -79.7 to -35.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDJPY price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 22-05-2025 closed, NZDJPY was at 84.8425, down 0.49% from the previous candle (85.256). Market Energy was -79.7%, down 15.7 points from -64%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did NZDJPY price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDJPY closed at 84.8425, down 0.49% from the previous Daily candle (85.256). This drop is larger than 64% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for NZDJPY, across 1,996 candles since 2019.

How did NZDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 15.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -64% to -79.7%. This drop is larger than 62% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for NZDJPY.

Do NZDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NZDJPY in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had NZDJPY at -64%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, NZDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does NZDJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -79.7%, NZDJPY is 5.18 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 20.32 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -81.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -60.1%. Against this backdrop, NZDJPY (Bear Extreme, -79.7%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 57.3%. NZDJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDJPY on the NZDJPY overview →

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