Analysis

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Price and energy
NVL Stock from 10.47 to 9.81, down 6.30%
Market Energy Bear Bias -56.9% to Bear Critical -74.1%, down 17.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.86%1.33%0.48%6.30%
Energy6.72.58.217.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.86% 1.33% 0.48% 6.30% 6.7 2.5 8.2 17.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 6.30% — largest on record (since 2019)
0%255075100%
Energy down 17.2 pts — higher than 75% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical NVL Stock 1H

Sample: 3,886 1H candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 171 times

When NVL Stock is in Bear Critical:

  • then NVL Stock moved to higher Market State: 113 times66.1%
  • then NVL Stock moved to lower Market State: 58 times33.9%

Current NVL Stock market energy: -74.13%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 14.13%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.37%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

NVL · H1 · 2026-03-09 02:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-56.9%
Bear Bias
-74.1%
Bear Critical
-78.5%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 1H candle, NVL in the near-extreme Bear energy zone.

At the 1H session close, Market Energy dropped -17.2% this candle, currently -74.1% (previous candle -56.9%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NVL Stock Market Energy ranged from -97.9 to -56.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NVL Stock price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 09:00 on 09-03-2026 closed, NVL Stock was at 9.81, down 6.3% from the previous candle (10.47). Market Energy was -74.1%, down 17.2 points from -56.9%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did NVL price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

NVL closed at 9.81, down 6.3% from the previous 1H candle (10.47). This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for NVL on record since 2019.

How did NVL Stock Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 17.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -56.9% to -74.1%. This drop is larger than 75% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NVL.

Do NVL price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NVL Stock in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had NVL Stock at -56.9%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, NVL Stock moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does NVL Stock energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -74.1%, NVL Stock is 14.13 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 0.37 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: VNINDEX (Vietnam equities) in Bear Bias with energy -42.2%; VN30 (VN30 basket) in Bear Bias with energy -37.3%. Against this backdrop, NVL Stock (Bear Critical, -74.1%) lower than VNINDEX, VN30.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 90.3%. NVL Stock (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NVL Stock.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NVL on the NVL Stock overview →

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