Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 2.004 to 1.995, down 0.45%
Market Energy Neutral 17.9% to Neutral 8.5%, down 9.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.69%1.38%0.00%0.45%
Energy3.824.910.69.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.69% 1.38%0.00% 0.45% 3.8 24.9 10.6 9.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.45% — higher than 39% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.4 pts — higher than 52% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral NEARUSD 1H

Sample: 51,772 1H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-11
Number of Neutral occurrences: 4,939 times

When NEARUSD is in Neutral:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,373 times48%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,566 times52%

Current NEARUSD market energy: 8.52%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 12.36%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 29.4%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H1 · 2026-07-04 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
17.9%
Neutral
8.5%
Neutral
9.3%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Right as the 1H candle closes, Market NEARUSD in the zone between Bull and Bear energy.

Market energy movement The energy level dropped -9.4%: from 17.9% now at 8.5%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -79.4 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 03:00 on 05-07-2026 closed, NEARUSD was at 1.995, down 0.45% from the previous candle (2.004). Market Energy was 8.5%, down 9.4 points from 17.9%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 1.995, down 0.45% from the previous 1H candle (2.004). This drop is larger than 39% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 50,129 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 17.9% to 8.5%. This drop is larger than 52% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had NEARUSD at 17.9%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 8.5%, NEARUSD is 12.36 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 29.4 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 36.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 69.8%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Neutral, 8.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 27.1%. NEARUSD energy is currently below DXY by 18.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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