Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 1.693 to 1.669, down 1.42%
Market Energy Neutral 13.0% to Bear Bias -41.2%, down 54.2 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.35%0.00%0.59%1.42%
Energy2.25.836.854.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.35%0.00% 0.59% 1.42% 2.2 5.8 36.8 54.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.42% — higher than 81% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 54.2 pts — higher than 97% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias NEARUSD 1H

Sample: 51,796 1H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 3,936 times

When NEARUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,771 times70.4%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,165 times29.6%

Current NEARUSD market energy: -41.22%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 20.34%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 18.78%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H1 · 2026-01-03 07:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
13.0%
Neutral
-41.2%
Bear Bias
-47.9%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, NEARUSD in the energy level leaning Bear.

Market energy measurement Energy delta -54.2%: Market Energy at -41.2%, previously 13%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -76.1 to +88.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 14:00 on 03-01-2026 closed, NEARUSD was at 1.669, down 1.42% from the previous candle (1.693). Market Energy was -41.2%, down 54.2 points from 13%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 1.669, down 1.42% from the previous 1H candle (1.693). This drop is larger than 81% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 45,748 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 54.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 13% to -41.2%. This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had NEARUSD at 13%, Neutral — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -41.2%, NEARUSD is 20.34 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 18.78 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -55%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 38.6%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bear Bias, -41.2%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 3.8%. NEARUSD energy is currently below DXY by 45 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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