Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 5.915 to 5.76, down 2.62%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 80.2% to Bear Bias -54.3%, down 134.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.28%0.70%0.46%2.62%
Energy43.328.29.2134.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.28% 0.70% 0.46% 2.62% 43.3 28.2 9.2 134.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.62% — higher than 94% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 134.5 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias NEARUSD 1H

Sample: 51,820 1H candles from 2020-10-14 to 2026-09-13
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 3,938 times

When NEARUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,773 times70.4%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,165 times29.6%

Current NEARUSD market energy: -54.35%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 33.47%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 5.65%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · H1 · 2025-01-04 15:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
80.2%
Bull Extreme
-54.3%
Bear Bias
-75.7%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 1H candle closes, NEARUSD within the energy zone leaning Bear.

On the energy side, Market Energy reading dropped -134.5%, moving from 80.2% to -54.3% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -95.2 to +99.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 22:00 on 04-01-2025 closed, NEARUSD was at 5.76, down 2.62% from the previous candle (5.915). Market Energy was -54.3%, down 134.5 points from 80.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 5.76, down 2.62% from the previous 1H candle (5.915). This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NEARUSD, across 37,020 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 134.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 80.2% to -54.3%. This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for NEARUSD on record since 2019.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had NEARUSD at 80.2%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bear Bias.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -54.3%, NEARUSD is 33.47 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 5.65 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -30%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bear Bias, -54.3%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 1.4%. NEARUSD energy is currently below DXY by 55.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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