Analysis

·

Price and energy
NEARUSD from 3.156 to 3.129, down 0.86%
Market Energy Bull Critical 70.8% to Bull Critical 67.7%, down 3.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price12.43%1.73%1.15%0.86%
Energy38.210.910.83.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
12.43% 1.73% 1.15% 0.86% 38.2 10.9 10.8 3.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.86% — higher than 14% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.1 pts — higher than 18% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical NEARUSD Daily

Sample: 2,161 Daily candles from 2020-10-15 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 99 times

When NEARUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 28 times28.3%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 71 times71.7%

Current NEARUSD market energy: 67.72%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 6.78%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 7.72%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · D1 · 2025-09-21 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NEARUSD chart →
Market Energy
70.8%
Bull Critical
67.7%
Bull Critical
42.8%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the Daily candle closes, NEARUSD in the near-extreme Bull energy state.

The market energy reading A -3.1% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 67.7% (previous: 70.8%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -9.8 to +92.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 21-09-2025 closed, NEARUSD was at 3.129, down 0.86% from the previous candle (3.156). Market Energy was 67.7%, down 3.1 points from 70.8%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 3.129, down 0.86% from the previous Daily candle (3.156). This drop is larger than 14% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for NEARUSD, across 1,802 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 70.8% to 67.7%. This drop is larger than 18% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had NEARUSD at 70.8%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 67.7%, NEARUSD is 6.78 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 7.72 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -27.7%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bull Critical, 67.7%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.4%. NEARUSD energy is currently above DXY by 70.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .