Analysis

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Price and energy
NEARUSD from 2.535 to 2.414, down 4.77%
Market Energy Bear Critical -60.6% to Bear Extreme -86.1%, down 25.5 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.05%2.42%4.59%4.77%
Energy34.02.416.625.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.05% 2.42% 4.59% 4.77% 34.0 2.4 16.6 25.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 4.77% — higher than 66% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 25.5 pts — higher than 81% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme NEARUSD Daily

Sample: 2,161 Daily candles from 2020-10-15 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 58 times

When NEARUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then NEARUSD moved to higher Market State: 58 times100%
  • then NEARUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current NEARUSD market energy: -86.13%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 11.63%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 13.87%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

NEARUSD · D1 · 2025-08-01 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-60.6%
Bear Critical
-86.1%
Bear Extreme
-88.1%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the Daily candle closes, NEARUSD in the peak Bear energy zone.

The energy side shows Market trend energy recorded a -25.5% drop from the previous candle, from -60.6% to -86.1%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NEARUSD Market Energy ranged from -86.1 to +30.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NEARUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 01-08-2025 closed, NEARUSD was at 2.414, down 4.77% from the previous candle (2.535). Market Energy was -86.1%, down 25.5 points from -60.6%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did NEARUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

NEARUSD closed at 2.414, down 4.77% from the previous Daily candle (2.535). This drop is larger than 66% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for NEARUSD, across 1,751 candles since 2019.

How did NEARUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 25.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -60.6% to -86.1%. This drop is larger than 81% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for NEARUSD.

Do NEARUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NEARUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had NEARUSD at -60.6%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, NEARUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does NEARUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -86.1%, NEARUSD is 11.63 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 13.87 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -66.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -63%. Against this backdrop, NEARUSD (Bear Extreme, -86.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 55.1%. NEARUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NEARUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NEARUSD on the NEARUSD overview →

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