Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
GBPUSD from 1.2626 to 1.2606, down 0.16%
Market Energy Bull Bias 59.6% to Bull Bias 45.4%, down 14.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.01%▲ 0.23%▲ 0.02%▼ 0.16%
Energy▼ 5.5▲ 11.8▲ 4.9▼ 14.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.01%▲ 0.23%▲ 0.02%▼ 0.16%▼ 5.5▲ 11.8▲ 4.9▼ 14.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.16% — higher than 66% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 14.1 pts — higher than 67% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias GBPUSD 4H

Sample: 18,307 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,421 times

▸When GBPUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then GBPUSD moved to higher Market State: 450 times — 31.7%
  • then GBPUSD moved to lower Market State: 971 times — 68.3%

▸Current GBPUSD market energy: 45.42%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 14.58%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 24.54%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

GBPUSD · H4 · 2025-02-17 22:00 UTC
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Market Energy
59.6%
Bull Bias
45.4%
Bull Bias
27.5%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded GBPUSD in the energy zone tilted toward Bull after the 4H candle closed.

On the energy side, Market trend energy recorded a -14.1% drop from the previous candle, from 59.6% to 45.4%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 7 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPUSD Market Energy ranged from +25.9 to +75.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 05:00 on 18-02-2025 closed, GBPUSD was at 1.2606, down 0.16% from the previous candle (1.2626). Market Energy was 45.4%, down 14.1 points from 59.6%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did GBPUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPUSD closed at 1.2606, down 0.16% from the previous 4H candle (1.2626). This drop is larger than 66% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD, across 9,547 candles since 2019.

How did GBPUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 14.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 59.6% to 45.4%. This drop is larger than 67% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD.

Do GBPUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was GBPUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPUSD at 59.6%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does GBPUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 45.4%, GBPUSD is 14.58 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 24.54 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 53.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 99%. Against this backdrop, GBPUSD (Bull Bias, 45.4%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -10.9%. GBPUSD energy is currently above DXY by 56.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPUSD on the GBPUSD overview →

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