Analysis

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Price and energy
GBPUSD from 1.2766 to 1.273, down 0.28%
Market Energy Bull Bias 24.9% to Bear Bias -31.9%, down 56.8 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.28% — higher than 84% of past drops
Energy down 56.8 pts — higher than 98% of past drops
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.200.050.100.2823.812.310.256.8-3-2-1nến này
GBPUSD hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias GBPUSD 4H

Sample: 18,138 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,400 times

When GBPUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then GBPUSD moved to higher Market State: 944 times67.4%
  • then GBPUSD moved to lower Market State: 456 times32.6%

Current GBPUSD market energy: -31.94%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 11.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 28.06%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

GBPUSD · H4 · 2024-12-11 06:00 UTC
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Market Energy
24.9%
Bull Bias
-31.9%
Bear Bias
5.7%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Bias state determined for GBPUSD through the 4H candle data.

On trend energy, Compared to the previous candle (24.9%), Market Energy dropped -56.8% to -31.9%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPUSD Market Energy ranged from -31.9 to +63.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was GBPUSD on 4H when this candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 13:00 on 11-12-2024 closed, GBPUSD was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -31.9%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How did GBPUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 56.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 24.9% to -31.9%.

What state was GBPUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPUSD at 24.9%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, GBPUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does GBPUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -31.9%, GBPUSD is 11.06 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 28.06 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -21.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 15.1%. Against this backdrop, GBPUSD (Bear Bias, -31.9%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 22.5%. GBPUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPUSD on the GBPUSD overview →

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