Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
GBPUSD from 1.371 to 1.3737, up 0.20%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 85.4% to Bull Extreme 85.2%, down 0.2 pts
Up candle #3 in a row—Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.02%▲ 0.02%▲ 0.02%▲ 0.20%
Energy▲ 0.9▼ 1.6▼ 1.6▼ 0.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.02%▲ 0.02%▲ 0.02%▲ 0.20%▲ 0.9▼ 1.6▼ 1.6▼ 0.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.20% — higher than 75% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.2 pts — higher than 2% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme GBPUSD 4H

Sample: 18,308 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 279 times

▸When GBPUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then GBPUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then GBPUSD moved to lower Market State: 279 times — 100%

▸Current GBPUSD market energy: 85.18%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 14.82%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 10.68%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

GBPUSD · H4 · 2022-01-13 06:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
85.4%
Bull Extreme
85.2%
Bull Extreme
82.3%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, GBPUSD noted at the trend energy Bull Extreme.

On the energy side, Energy delta -0.2%: Market Energy at 85.2%, previously 85.4%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPUSD Market Energy ranged from -10.1 to +88.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 13:00 on 13-01-2022 closed, GBPUSD was at 1.3737, up 0.2% from the previous candle (1.371). Market Energy was 85.2%, down 0.2 points from 85.4%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did GBPUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPUSD closed at 1.3737, up 0.2% from the previous 4H candle (1.371). This rise is larger than 75% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD, across 4,725 candles since 2019.

How did GBPUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 0.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 85.4% to 85.2%. This drop is larger than 2% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD.

Do GBPUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was GBPUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPUSD at 85.4%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does GBPUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 85.2%, GBPUSD is 14.82 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 10.68 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 6.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -10.9%. Against this backdrop, GBPUSD (Bull Extreme, 85.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -66.9%. GBPUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPUSD on the GBPUSD overview →

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