Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
GBPUSD from 1.3047 to 1.3022, down 0.19%
Market Energy Bear Bias -30.3% to Bear Bias -43.4%, down 13.1 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.22%▼ 0.32%▼ 0.01%▼ 0.19%
Energy▼ 23.5▼ 44.0▼ 9.7▼ 13.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.22%▼ 0.32%▼ 0.01%▼ 0.19%▼ 23.5▼ 44.0▼ 9.7▼ 13.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.19% — higher than 72% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.1 pts — higher than 67% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias GBPUSD 4H

Sample: 18,295 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-05
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,416 times

▸When GBPUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then GBPUSD moved to higher Market State: 953 times — 67.3%
  • then GBPUSD moved to lower Market State: 463 times — 32.7%

▸Current GBPUSD market energy: -43.45%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 22.57%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 16.55%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

GBPUSD · H4 · 2020-08-12 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-30.3%
Bear Bias
-43.4%
Bear Bias
-22.4%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, GBPUSD currently in the energy state tilted toward Bear.

Market energy measurement Energy delta -13.1%: Market Energy at -43.4%, previously -30.3%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPUSD Market Energy ranged from -43.4 to +47.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 12-08-2020 closed, GBPUSD was at 1.3022, down 0.19% from the previous candle (1.3047). Market Energy was -43.4%, down 13.1 points from -30.3%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did GBPUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPUSD closed at 1.3022, down 0.19% from the previous 4H candle (1.3047). This drop is larger than 72% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD, across 2,510 candles since 2019.

How did GBPUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -30.3% to -43.4%. This drop is larger than 67% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD.

Do GBPUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPUSD at -30.3%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does GBPUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -43.4%, GBPUSD is 22.57 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 16.55 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -73.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -74.2%. Against this backdrop, GBPUSD (Bear Bias, -43.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 68.2%. GBPUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPUSD on the GBPUSD overview →

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