Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
GBPUSD from 1.2652 to 1.2608, down 0.35%
Market Energy Bull Bias 30.3% to Neutral -9.2%, down 39.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.04%▲ 0.14%▲ 0.09%▼ 0.35%
Energy▼ 8.2▲ 6.9▲ 9.0▼ 39.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.04%▲ 0.14%▲ 0.09%▼ 0.35%▼ 8.2▲ 6.9▲ 9.0▼ 39.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.35% — higher than 89% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 39.5 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral GBPUSD 4H

Sample: 18,289 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-02
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,807 times

▸When GBPUSD is in Neutral:

  • then GBPUSD moved to higher Market State: 910 times — 50.4%
  • then GBPUSD moved to lower Market State: 897 times — 49.6%

▸Current GBPUSD market energy: -9.24%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 30.12%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 11.64%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

GBPUSD · H4 · 2020-07-13 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
30.3%
Bull Bias
-9.2%
Neutral
-30.5%
Bear Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

GBPUSD processing result: neutral trend energy after the 4H candle closed.

End-of-session energy readings on 4H, Market trend energy recorded a -39.5% drop from the previous candle, from 30.3% to -9.2%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPUSD Market Energy ranged from -21.6 to +74.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 13-07-2020 closed, GBPUSD was at 1.2608, down 0.35% from the previous candle (1.2652). Market Energy was -9.2%, down 39.5 points from 30.3%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did GBPUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPUSD closed at 1.2608, down 0.35% from the previous 4H candle (1.2652). This drop is larger than 89% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD, across 2,379 candles since 2019.

How did GBPUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 39.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 30.3% to -9.2%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD.

Do GBPUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPUSD at 30.3%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, GBPUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does GBPUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -9.2%, GBPUSD is 30.12 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 11.64 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 83.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 94.6%. Against this backdrop, GBPUSD (Neutral, -9.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -55.9%. GBPUSD energy is currently above DXY by 46.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPUSD on the GBPUSD overview →

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