Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
GBPUSD from 1.2419 to 1.2421, up 0.02%
Market Energy Neutral -17.9% to Bear Bias -25.1%, down 7.2 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.07%▲ 0.06%▼ 0.18%▲ 0.02%
Energy▼ 7.0▲ 5.3▼ 15.5▼ 7.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.07%▲ 0.06%▼ 0.18%▲ 0.02%▼ 7.0▲ 5.3▼ 15.5▼ 7.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.02%: not enough data to rank
0%255075100%
Energy down 7.2 pts: not enough data to rank
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias GBPUSD 4H

Sample: 18,301 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-06
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,416 times

▸When GBPUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then GBPUSD moved to higher Market State: 953 times — 67.3%
  • then GBPUSD moved to lower Market State: 463 times — 32.7%

▸Current GBPUSD market energy: -25.12%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 4.24%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 34.88%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

GBPUSD · H4 · 2017-02-28 10:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live GBPUSD chart →
Market Energy
-17.9%
Neutral
-25.1%
Bear Bias
-30.6%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

GBPUSD classified into the Bear Bias energy state after the 4H candle completed.

Observing the GBPUSD market this session, Market Energy at -25.1%, down -7.2% from -17.9% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPUSD Market Energy ranged from -53.4 to +70.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 17:00 on 28-02-2017 closed, GBPUSD was at 1.2421, up 0.02% from the previous candle (1.2419). Market Energy was -25.1%, down 7.2 points from -17.9%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did GBPUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPUSD closed at 1.2421, up 0.02% from the previous 4H candle (1.2419).

How did GBPUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 7.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -17.9% to -25.1%.

Do GBPUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was GBPUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPUSD at -17.9%, Neutral — when this candle closed, GBPUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does GBPUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -25.1%, GBPUSD is 4.24 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 34.88 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 33.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -54%. Against this backdrop, GBPUSD (Bear Bias, -25.1%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 19%. GBPUSD energy is currently below DXY by 44.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPUSD on the GBPUSD overview →

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