Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
GBPUSD from 1.4177 to 1.4071, down 0.75%
Market Energy Bear Bias -45.7% to Bear Extreme -77.4%, down 31.8 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.86%▲ 0.06%▼ 0.75%▼ 0.75%
Energy▼ 44.9▼ 13.9▼ 38.4▼ 31.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.86%▲ 0.06%▼ 0.75%▼ 0.75%▼ 44.9▼ 13.9▼ 38.4▼ 31.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.75%: not enough data to rank
0%255075100%
Energy down 31.8 pts: not enough data to rank
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme GBPUSD 4H

Sample: 18,307 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 270 times

▸When GBPUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then GBPUSD moved to higher Market State: 270 times — 100%
  • then GBPUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current GBPUSD market energy: -77.42%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.92%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 22.58%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

GBPUSD · H4 · 2016-02-22 10:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live GBPUSD chart →
Market Energy
-45.7%
Bear Bias
-77.4%
Bear Extreme
-56.1%
Bear Bias
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

GBPUSD processing result: the Bear Extreme zone after the 4H candle closed.

On the measurement side, Energy delta -31.8%: Market Energy at -77.4%, previously -45.7%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPUSD Market Energy ranged from -77.4 to +51.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 17:00 on 22-02-2016 closed, GBPUSD was at 1.4071, down 0.75% from the previous candle (1.4177). Market Energy was -77.4%, down 31.8 points from -45.7%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did GBPUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPUSD closed at 1.4071, down 0.75% from the previous 4H candle (1.4177).

How did GBPUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 31.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -45.7% to -77.4%.

Do GBPUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPUSD at -45.7%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, GBPUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does GBPUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -77.4%, GBPUSD is 2.92 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 22.58 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 85.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 86.3%. Against this backdrop, GBPUSD (Bear Extreme, -77.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 36.1%. GBPUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPUSD on the GBPUSD overview →

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