Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1737 to 1.1754, up 0.14%
Market Energy Bull Critical 73.2% to Bull Critical 65.5%, down 7.7 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.37%▲ 0.01%▼ 0.03%▲ 0.14%
Energy▲ 21.6▲ 3.7▲ 6.8▼ 7.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.37%▲ 0.01%▼ 0.03%▲ 0.14%▲ 21.6▲ 3.7▲ 6.8▼ 7.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.14% — higher than 41% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 7.7 pts — higher than 40% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical EURUSD Daily

Sample: 4,059 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 125 times

▸When EURUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 38 times — 30.4%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 87 times — 69.6%

▸Current EURUSD market energy: 65.47%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 9.03%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 5.47%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · D1 · 2025-12-15 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
73.2%
Bull Critical
65.5%
Bull Critical
50.5%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

EURUSD recorded in the Bull Critical state as the Daily candle ended.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy dropped -0.9% this candle, currently 65.5% (previous candle 66.4%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from +41.1 to +73.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 15-12-2025 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1754, up 0.14% from the previous candle (1.1737). Market Energy was 65.5%, down 7.7 points from 73.2%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1754, up 0.14% from the previous Daily candle (1.1737). This rise is larger than 41% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for EURUSD, across 2,173 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 7.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 73.2% to 65.5%. This drop is larger than 40% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had EURUSD at 73.2%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 65.5%, EURUSD is 9.03 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 5.47 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -70.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -30.5%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bull Critical, 65.5%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -17.3%. EURUSD energy is currently above DXY by 82.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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