Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
EURJPY from 174.676 to 174.498, down 0.10%
Market Energy Bear Critical -72.0% to Bear Extreme -78.7%, down 6.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.08%0.01%0.03%0.10%
Energy38.817.411.86.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.08% 0.01% 0.03% 0.10% 38.8 17.4 11.8 6.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.10% — higher than 77% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 6.7 pts — higher than 42% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme EURJPY 1H

Sample: 72,917 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-21
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2,337 times

When EURJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then EURJPY moved to higher Market State: 2,337 times100%
  • then EURJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current EURJPY market energy: -78.73%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 4.23%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 21.27%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

EURJPY · H1 · 2025-09-29 05:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-72.0%
Bear Critical
-78.7%
Bear Extreme
-90.6%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 1H candle, Result for EURJPY: Bear Extreme.

Market energy movement Market Energy moved from -72% to -78.7%, down -6.7% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURJPY Market Energy ranged from -83.8 to +61.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 12:00 on 29-09-2025 closed, EURJPY was at 174.498, down 0.1% from the previous candle (174.676). Market Energy was -78.7%, down 6.7 points from -72%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did EURJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURJPY closed at 174.498, down 0.1% from the previous 1H candle (174.676). This drop is larger than 77% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for EURJPY, across 42,021 candles since 2019.

How did EURJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 6.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -72% to -78.7%. This drop is larger than 42% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for EURJPY.

Do EURJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had EURJPY at -72%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, EURJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does EURJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -78.7%, EURJPY is 4.23 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 21.27 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 71.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 74.9%. Against this backdrop, EURJPY (Bear Extreme, -78.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -70.3%. EURJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURJPY on the EURJPY overview →

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