Analysis

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Price and energy
DOTUSD from 1.307 to 1.333, up 1.99%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 82.3% to Bull Extreme 78.6%, down 3.7 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.48%2.55%1.66%1.99%
Energy7.61.24.33.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.48% 2.55% 1.66% 1.99% 7.6 1.2 4.3 3.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.99% — higher than 77% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.7 pts — higher than 25% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,289 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 385 times

When DOTUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 385 times100%

Current DOTUSD market energy: 78.57%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 21.43%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 4.07%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2026-04-17 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
82.3%
Bull Extreme
78.6%
Bull Extreme
75.9%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, DOTUSD classified as the Bull Extreme state.

The DOTUSD market at session end, The energy level dropped -3.7%: from 82.3% now at 78.6%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 9 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -74.7 to +97.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 17-04-2026 closed, DOTUSD was at 1.333, up 1.99% from the previous candle (1.307). Market Energy was 78.6%, down 3.7 points from 82.3%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 1.333, up 1.99% from the previous 4H candle (1.307). This rise is larger than 77% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 12,405 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 82.3% to 78.6%. This drop is larger than 25% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at 82.3%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 78.6%, DOTUSD is 21.43 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 4.07 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 99.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 90.5%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bull Extreme, 78.6%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -99.4%. DOTUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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