Analysis

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Price and energy
DOTUSD from 1.568 to 1.612, up 2.81%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 86.1% to Bull Extreme 85.2%, down 0.9 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price7.18%0.63%1.57%2.81%
Energy48.71.89.60.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
7.18% 0.63% 1.57% 2.81% 48.7 1.8 9.6 0.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 2.81% — higher than 87% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.9 pts — higher than 6% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,289 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 385 times

When DOTUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 385 times100%

Current DOTUSD market energy: 85.2%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 14.8%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 10.7%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2026-03-16 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
86.1%
Bull Extreme
85.2%
Bull Extreme
86.1%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, DOTUSD currently in the Bull Extreme energy zone.

The energy side shows The energy level dropped -0.9%: from 86.1% now at 85.2%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -70 to +97.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 16-03-2026 closed, DOTUSD was at 1.612, up 2.81% from the previous candle (1.568). Market Energy was 85.2%, down 0.9 points from 86.1%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 1.612, up 2.81% from the previous 4H candle (1.568). This rise is larger than 87% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 12,214 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 0.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 86.1% to 85.2%. This drop is larger than 6% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at 86.1%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 85.2%, DOTUSD is 14.8 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 10.7 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 41%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 14.3%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bull Extreme, 85.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -53.2%. DOTUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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