Analysis

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Price and energy
DOTUSD from 1.616 to 1.605, down 0.68%
Market Energy Bull Critical 70.9% to Bull Critical 61.5%, down 9.4 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price5.76%4.00%2.77%0.68%
Energy31.852.911.49.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
5.76% 4.00% 2.77% 0.68% 31.8 52.9 11.4 9.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.68% — higher than 38% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.4 pts — higher than 52% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,292 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 550 times

When DOTUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 157 times28.5%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 393 times71.5%

Current DOTUSD market energy: 61.5%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 13%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 1.5%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2026-03-01 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
70.9%
Bull Critical
61.5%
Bull Critical
48.9%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, DOTUSD currently in the Bull Critical reading.

Market trend update: The energy level dropped -9.4%: from 70.9% now at 61.5%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -58.3 to +99.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 01-03-2026 closed, DOTUSD was at 1.605, down 0.68% from the previous candle (1.616). Market Energy was 61.5%, down 9.4 points from 70.9%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 1.605, down 0.68% from the previous 4H candle (1.616). This drop is larger than 38% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 12,121 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 70.9% to 61.5%. This drop is larger than 52% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at 70.9%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 61.5%, DOTUSD is 13 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 1.5 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 2.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -54.2%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bull Critical, 61.5%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 4.7%. DOTUSD energy is currently above DXY by 56.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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