Analysis

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Price and energy
DOTUSD from 1.32 to 1.299, down 1.59%
Market Energy Neutral 2.3% to Neutral -16.8%, down 19.1 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.39%1.68%0.90%1.59%
Energy12.832.61.019.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.39% 1.68% 0.90% 1.59% 12.8 32.6 1.0 19.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.59% — higher than 70% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 19.1 pts — higher than 75% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,285 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-09-11
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,188 times

When DOTUSD is in Neutral:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 602 times50.7%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 586 times49.3%

Current DOTUSD market energy: -16.78%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 37.66%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 4.1%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2026-02-10 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
2.3%
Neutral
-16.8%
Neutral
-34.5%
Bear Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, DOTUSD classified as neutral trend energy.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy at -16.8%, down -19.1% from 2.3% in the previous candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -94.4 to +3.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 10-02-2026 closed, DOTUSD was at 1.299, down 1.59% from the previous candle (1.32). Market Energy was -16.8%, down 19.1 points from 2.3%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 1.299, down 1.59% from the previous 4H candle (1.32). This drop is larger than 70% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 12,006 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 19.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 2.3% to -16.8%. This drop is larger than 75% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at 2.3%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -16.8%, DOTUSD is 37.66 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 4.1 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 40.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -3.6%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Neutral, -16.8%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -83.8%. DOTUSD energy is currently above DXY by 67 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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