Analysis

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Price and energy
DOTUSD from 1.831 to 1.855, up 1.31%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -89.0% to Bear Extreme -83.8%, up 5.2 pts
Up candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price5.09%1.79%0.44%1.31%
Energy53.02.15.65.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
5.09% 1.79% 0.44% 1.31% 53.0 2.1 5.6 5.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.31% — higher than 62% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 5.2 pts — higher than 32% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,284 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 317 times

When DOTUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 317 times100%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current DOTUSD market energy: -83.77%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 9.27%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 16.23%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2026-01-26 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-89.0%
Bear Extreme
-83.8%
Bear Extreme
-81.7%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, DOTUSD within the Bear Extreme measurement.

End-of-session energy readings on 4H, Market Energy at -83.8%, up +5.2% from -89% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.7 to +19.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 26-01-2026 closed, DOTUSD was at 1.855, up 1.31% from the previous candle (1.831). Market Energy was -83.8%, up 5.2 points from -89%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 1.855, up 1.31% from the previous 4H candle (1.831). This rise is larger than 62% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 11,917 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 5.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -89% to -83.8%. This rise is larger than 32% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at -89%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -83.8%, DOTUSD is 9.27 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 16.23 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 21.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -73.2%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bear Extreme, -83.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -66%. DOTUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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