Analysis

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Price and energy
DOTUSD from 2.127 to 2.117, down 0.47%
Market Energy Neutral -12.1% to Neutral -10.7%, up 1.3 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.38%0.24%0.09%0.47%
Energy8.63.32.21.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.38% 0.24% 0.09% 0.47% 8.6 3.3 2.2 1.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.47% — higher than 27% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 1.3 pts — higher than 8% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,285 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-09-11
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,188 times

When DOTUSD is in Neutral:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 602 times50.7%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 586 times49.3%

Current DOTUSD market energy: -10.71%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 31.59%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 10.17%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2025-12-09 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-12.1%
Neutral
-10.7%
Neutral
-11.5%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

DOTUSD recorded in the Neutral state as the 4H candle ended.

The energy side shows Energy delta +1.3%: Market Energy at -10.7%, previously -12.1%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 10 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -80.8 to +63.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 09-12-2025 closed, DOTUSD was at 2.117, down 0.47% from the previous candle (2.127). Market Energy was -10.7%, up 1.3 points from -12.1%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 2.117, down 0.47% from the previous 4H candle (2.127). This drop is larger than 27% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 11,629 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 1.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -12.1% to -10.7%. This rise is larger than 8% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at -12.1%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -10.7%, DOTUSD is 31.59 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 10.17 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 0.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -19.8%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Neutral, -10.7%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 10.4%. DOTUSD energy is currently below DXY by 21.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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