Analysis

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Price and energy
DOTUSD from 4.241 to 4.205, down 0.85%
Market Energy Bull Bias 58.2% to Bull Bias 37.4%, down 20.7 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.79%0.25%1.51%0.85%
Energy5.90.018.620.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.79% 0.25% 1.51% 0.85% 5.9 0.0 18.6 20.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.85% — higher than 46% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 20.7 pts — higher than 77% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,285 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,013 times

When DOTUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 351 times34.6%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 662 times65.4%

Current DOTUSD market energy: 37.44%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 22.56%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 16.56%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2025-10-03 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
58.2%
Bull Bias
37.4%
Bull Bias
33.7%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, DOTUSD in the energy state tilted toward Bull.

Market energy movement Market trend energy recorded a -20.7% drop from the previous candle, from 58.2% to 37.4%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -27.9 to +98.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 03-10-2025 closed, DOTUSD was at 4.205, down 0.85% from the previous candle (4.241). Market Energy was 37.4%, down 20.7 points from 58.2%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 4.205, down 0.85% from the previous 4H candle (4.241). This drop is larger than 46% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 11,227 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 20.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 58.2% to 37.4%. This drop is larger than 77% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at 58.2%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 37.4%, DOTUSD is 22.56 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 16.56 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 79%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 52.1%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bull Bias, 37.4%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 48.3%. DOTUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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