Analysis

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Price and energy
DOTUSD from 5.68 to 5.54, down 2.46%
Market Energy Bull Bias 43.8% to Bear Critical -71.8%, down 115.7 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.61%0.35%0.35%2.46%
Energy30.710.312.0115.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.61% 0.35% 0.35% 2.46% 30.7 10.3 12.0 115.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.46% — higher than 76% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 115.7 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,304 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 520 times

When DOTUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 394 times75.8%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 126 times24.2%

Current DOTUSD market energy: -71.81%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 11.81%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 2.69%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2022-12-05 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
43.8%
Bull Bias
-71.8%
Bear Critical
-93.7%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Critical measurement is the result just recorded for DOTUSD after the 4H candle closed.

End-of-session energy readings on 4H, Compared to the previous candle (43.8%), Market Energy dropped -115.7% to -71.8%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -71.8 to +92.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 05-12-2022 closed, DOTUSD was at 5.54, down 2.46% from the previous candle (5.68). Market Energy was -71.8%, down 115.7 points from 43.8%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 5.54, down 2.46% from the previous 4H candle (5.68). This drop is larger than 76% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 5,031 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 115.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 43.8% to -71.8%. This is the largest of all drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD on record since 2019.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at 43.8%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, DOTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -71.8%, DOTUSD is 11.81 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 2.69 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -25.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -54.2%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bear Critical, -71.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -58%. DOTUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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