Analysis

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Price and energy
DOTUSD from 11.81 to 11.24, down 4.83%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 81.4% to Bull Critical 64.0%, down 17.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price3.67%6.22%3.23%4.83%
Energy17.918.239.617.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
3.67% 6.22% 3.23% 4.83% 17.9 18.2 39.6 17.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 4.83% — higher than 92% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 17.4 pts — higher than 71% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,304 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 550 times

When DOTUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 157 times28.5%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 393 times71.5%

Current DOTUSD market energy: 64%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 10.5%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 4%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2022-05-16 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
81.4%
Bull Extreme
64.0%
Bull Critical
6.5%
Neutral
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, DOTUSD within the Bull Critical energy zone.

On trend energy, A -17.4% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 64% (previous: 81.4%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -70.6 to +89.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 16-05-2022 closed, DOTUSD was at 11.24, down 4.83% from the previous candle (11.81). Market Energy was 64%, down 17.4 points from 81.4%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 11.24, down 4.83% from the previous 4H candle (11.81). This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 3,810 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 17.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 81.4% to 64%. This drop is larger than 71% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at 81.4%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, DOTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 64%, DOTUSD is 10.5 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 4 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 67.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 89.6%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bull Critical, 64%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -46.1%. DOTUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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