Analysis

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Price and energy
DOTUSD from 1.622 to 1.567, down 3.39%
Market Energy Bear Bias -55.3% to Bear Extreme -78.7%, down 23.4 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.43%0.12%0.67%3.39%
Energy2.63.35.323.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.43% 0.12% 0.67% 3.39% 2.6 3.3 5.3 23.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.39% — higher than 98% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 23.4 pts — higher than 81% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme DOTUSD 1H

Sample: 53,132 1H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 1,071 times

When DOTUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,071 times100%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current DOTUSD market energy: -78.71%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 4.21%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 21.29%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H1 · 2026-01-31 14:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-55.3%
Bear Bias
-78.7%
Bear Extreme
-80.6%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, DOTUSD currently in Bear energy at peak level.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market trend energy recorded a -23.4% drop from the previous candle, from -55.3% to -78.7%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -90.3 to +60.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 21:00 on 31-01-2026 closed, DOTUSD was at 1.567, down 3.39% from the previous candle (1.622). Market Energy was -78.7%, down 23.4 points from -55.3%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 1.567, down 3.39% from the previous 1H candle (1.622). This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 47,778 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 23.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -55.3% to -78.7%. This drop is larger than 81% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had DOTUSD at -55.3%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, DOTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -78.7%, DOTUSD is 4.21 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 21.29 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -14.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -8.5%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bear Extreme, -78.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 89.4%. DOTUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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